It’s Time to Prepare for a Ukrainian Victory

Russian military is decimated and incompetent. They don't control the skies because they can't afford to lose planes and helicopters. They have exhausted their smarter bombs. They have lots of old Soviet artillery ammo, but they need people to actually occupy space. Ukraine appears to be able to conduct surgical strikes against Russian command and control and supply lines using HIMARs and Western intel. Russia appears to be quietly packing up in Crimea, not the best signal. Limey has it right. Ukraine will move to reclaim everything from Russia given Russian weakness and
incompetence. 

My guess is that you have plenty in the way
of anger, but little in the way of solutions.

The solution hasn’t changed.

Allow Donbas and Luhansk their independence.

Promise from NATO that Ukraine will not be allowed to join.

Minimizes human suffering and lowers the risk of nuclear conflict.

The MiC and Intelligence Community don’t want that.

You are using a lot of words to tell those of us who have gone out and done this kind of thing for real that you aren't really qualified to have this conversation. I have asked you a few pointed questions to try to get a gauge on what you actually know, and you aren't impressing me. You have demonstrated no knowledge how military operations actually work, and how learning to coordinate things at the staff level and above are the result of YEARS of training and experience. Any look at the RUS army will tell you what it is failing at, and why. Take a look and get back to me.

There was no 'shifting of the goalposts' because the Chechen wars and campaigns like Operation Bagration and the Vistula-Oder Operation were VERY different things. Not the same ballpark, not the same league, not even the same sport, and if you had a better base of knowledge, you would know this. I gave you the opportunity to correct yourself or seek clarification. Instead, you doubled down.

I say the same things over and over because -

1. They bear repeating because they (obviously) aren't sinking in

2. You aren't getting them (willfully?)

I have no insight into Putin's mind. The attempt at decapitating the UKR government made the intent obvious (unless you are hugely invested in believing what is obvious is not true).

I cite practical experience because in this case it is relevant in discrediting your sources. Until you or your sources have worked at the S/G/J 1-9 levels, you are merely amateurs.

The neocons really did a number on you.

Who appeases the US government during our moments of naked aggression?

Umm...the Ukrainians already destroyed the bridges. They would need to rebuild them or find some other means and the Russians can bomb them from the air or with artillery.

Artillery has a maximum range.

Ukraine has systems that outrange Russian artillery.

Bridges are fixed in place. AA systems will keep Russian aircraft away, or shoot them down.

Russians have been striking targets across Ukraine and Russian troops are literally right across the river. They didn't flee from Ukraine like the propaganda portrays it.