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Post by Greg55_99 on Nov 3, 2024 16:08:58 GMT
Your thoughts...
Greg
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Post by CadesCove on Nov 3, 2024 16:10:58 GMT
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Post by stugatze on Nov 3, 2024 16:18:53 GMT
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Greggy, .. Trump gonna beat Harris,  .. and it will be because MILLIONS of blacks VOTED for Trump,  and that in itself gonna really piss you the hell off. I CANNOT wait!  |
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Post by Greg55_99 on Nov 3, 2024 16:25:42 GMT
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Greggy, .. Trump gonna beat Harris, .. and it will be because MILLIONS of blacks VOTED for Trump, and that in itself gonna really piss you the hell off. I CANNOT wait! You got a blood pressure cuff at home Stuey? Greg |
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Post by limey² on Nov 3, 2024 16:31:05 GMT
Send 'em my contact details, I'll talk them through it. Apart from the medical insurance part, obviously, can't help there. |
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RWB
Legend
Posts: 12,803
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Post by RWB on Nov 4, 2024 0:55:28 GMT
My guess is Socpuppy she's been posting a lot of crazy conspiracy theory articles lately 🤔
Sad part is she actually believes the Bullshit she posts
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Post by DaveJavu on Nov 4, 2024 1:38:20 GMT
Let's hope it will be a stroke of bad luck. |
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Post by DaveJavu on Nov 4, 2024 1:39:34 GMT
Archie is senile. He'll convince himself that somehow things went according to (trump's) plan. |
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Post by archie on Nov 4, 2024 14:06:02 GMT
Archie hopes that we will keep a free republican nation, for the people. Not a socialist run country taking everything from the successful people and giving it to whatever is roaming the country to buy their votes and keep them in power. No ID to vote. Just vote for the (D) party and get your ice cream. |
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Post by RinsePrius on Nov 4, 2024 14:08:02 GMT
Archie hopes that we will keep a free republican nation, for the people. Only if we defeat Trump, which looks very likely. |
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petep
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Posts: 26,009
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Post by petep on Nov 4, 2024 14:40:03 GMT
I hope trump wins. If not we will be in for another 4 years of things getting worse.
But we survived Carter. We would survive a Harris presidency.
If trump wins the left will be a mess. As they were last time around. But we will all be better off
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Post by rabbitreborn on Nov 4, 2024 14:45:30 GMT
I have no idea.
Our media is broken.
And the polling organizations have been wrong so badly that they’ve taken to just calling it a coin flip to avoid embarrassment.
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Paleocon
Legend
We spent 50 Years fighting the USSR just to become a gay, retarded version of It.
Posts: 7,338
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Post by Paleocon on Nov 4, 2024 15:05:54 GMT
Archie hopes that we will keep a free republican nation, for the people. Only if we defeat Trump, which looks very likely. Hillary was well ahead in the polls in 2016, but Trump outperformed those polls and won.
Biden was even farther ahead in 2020, and Trump surged so that the final totals in swing states was even closer than in 2016.
To come to your conclusion, you have to assume Trump will not outperform the current polling.
Are you sure that's what you want to do?
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Post by RinsePrius on Nov 4, 2024 15:16:01 GMT
Only if we defeat Trump, which looks very likely. Hillary was well ahead in the polls in 2016, but Trump outperformed those polls and won.
Biden was even farther ahead in 2020, and Trump surged so that the final totals in swing states was even closer than in 2016.
To come to your conclusion, you have to assume Trump will not outperform the current polling.
Are you sure that's what you want to do?
Yes, because no campaign in history has outperformed the polls in 3 elections in a row. Pollsters adjust their sampling method to correct for the bias and get better at predicting as a consequence. It's far more likely that Kamala voters are being under sampled. I expect Dems to outperform the polls. |
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Post by rabbitreborn on Nov 4, 2024 15:24:53 GMT
Hillary was well ahead in the polls in 2016, but Trump outperformed those polls and won.
Biden was even farther ahead in 2020, and Trump surged so that the final totals in swing states was even closer than in 2016.
To come to your conclusion, you have to assume Trump will not outperform the current polling.
Are you sure that's what you want to do?
Yes, because no campaign in history has outperformed the polls in 3 elections in a row. Pollsters adjust their sampling method to correct for the bias and get better at predicting as a consequence. It's far more likely that Kamala voters are being under sampled. I expect Dems to outperform the polls. I imagine the sample size on three elections in a row for president is quite small. |
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Post by CadesCove on Nov 4, 2024 17:51:09 GMT
Archie hopes that we will keep a free republican nation, for the people. Not a socialist run country taking everything from the successful people and giving it to whatever is roaming the country to buy their votes and keep them in power. No ID to vote. Just vote for the (D) party and get your ice cream. Hey Archie, What are you going to do when you wake up Wednesday and Kamala Harris is president elect? |
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demos
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Posts: 9,206
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Post by demos on Nov 4, 2024 18:03:00 GMT
Yes, because no campaign in history has outperformed the polls in 3 elections in a row. We also haven't seen anything like this since 1892. Something on the sampling issue from August:
"The other explanation is that Republicans in the Trump era have become a little less likely than Democrats to participate in polls. Pollsters call this 'partisan nonresponse bias.' Surprisingly, polls historically have not shown any particular pattern of favoring one side or the other. The errors that favored Democratic candidates in the past eight years may be a result of the growth of political polarization, along with declining trust among conservatives in news organizations and other institutions that conduct polls." ( Source) |
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Post by rabbitreborn on Nov 4, 2024 18:18:49 GMT
Yes, because no campaign in history has outperformed the polls in 3 elections in a row. We also haven't seen anything like this since 1892. Something on the sampling issue from August:
"The other explanation is that Republicans in the Trump era have become a little less likely than Democrats to participate in polls. Pollsters call this 'partisan nonresponse bias.' Surprisingly, polls historically have not shown any particular pattern of favoring one side or the other. The errors that favored Democratic candidates in the past eight years may be a result of the growth of political polarization, along with declining trust among conservatives in news organizations and other institutions that conduct polls." ( Source) For the first time in my life, I’ve been called twice by pollsters. I hung up on both of them. 1. I didn’t even trust they were real. Maybe they weren’t. 2. F*** them anyway. |
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Odysseus
Legend
Trump = Disaster
Posts: 41,114
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Post by Odysseus on Nov 4, 2024 21:27:45 GMT
We also haven't seen anything like this since 1892. Something on the sampling issue from August:
"The other explanation is that Republicans in the Trump era have become a little less likely than Democrats to participate in polls. Pollsters call this 'partisan nonresponse bias.' Surprisingly, polls historically have not shown any particular pattern of favoring one side or the other. The errors that favored Democratic candidates in the past eight years may be a result of the growth of political polarization, along with declining trust among conservatives in news organizations and other institutions that conduct polls." ( Source) For the first time in my life, I’ve been called twice by pollsters. I hung up on both of them. 1. I didn’t even trust they were real. Maybe they weren’t. 2. F*** them anyway.
That apparently was a waste of time.
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Odysseus
Legend
Trump = Disaster
Posts: 41,114
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Post by Odysseus on Nov 4, 2024 21:30:56 GMT
Only if we defeat Trump, which looks very likely. Hillary was well ahead in the polls in 2016, but Trump outperformed those polls and won.
Biden was even farther ahead in 2020, and Trump surged so that the final totals in swing states was even closer than in 2016.
To come to your conclusion, you have to assume Trump will not outperform the current polling.
Are you sure that's what you want to do?
Or, perhaps the polls were fake?
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