|
|
Post by Greg55_99 on Nov 5, 2024 13:31:09 GMT
Somebody get the blood thinner ready for Stuey.
Greg
|
|
|
|
Post by CadesCove on Nov 5, 2024 13:33:13 GMT
Somebody get the blood thinner ready for Stuey. Greg I think Stu has taken to his bed with the vapors. He hasn't posted since yesterday. |
|
|
|
Post by RinsePrius on Nov 5, 2024 14:21:34 GMT
Yes, because no campaign in history has outperformed the polls in 3 elections in a row. We also haven't seen anything like this since 1892. Something on the sampling issue from August:
"The other explanation is that Republicans in the Trump era have become a little less likely than Democrats to participate in polls. Pollsters call this 'partisan nonresponse bias.' Surprisingly, polls historically have not shown any particular pattern of favoring one side or the other. The errors that favored Democratic candidates in the past eight years may be a result of the growth of political polarization, along with declining trust among conservatives in news organizations and other institutions that conduct polls." ( Source) That's fair but I think the silent Kamala voter narrative also makes sense. Could go either way. One data point that gives me hope: the way Dobbs radicalized women and they turned out in the midterms to deny the red wave. I don't feel like that impetus is done yet. |
|
|
|
Post by Greg55_99 on Nov 5, 2024 15:35:25 GMT
Somebody get the blood thinner ready for Stuey. Greg I think Stu has taken to his bed with the vapors. He hasn't posted since yesterday. Yeah, Stuey has gone radio silent. He only does that when BAD Trump stuff comes down. Greg |
|
Paleocon
Legend
We spent 50 Years fighting the USSR just to become a gay, retarded version of It.
Posts: 7,338
|
Post by Paleocon on Nov 5, 2024 18:44:49 GMT
Hillary was well ahead in the polls in 2016, but Trump outperformed those polls and won.
Biden was even farther ahead in 2020, and Trump surged so that the final totals in swing states was even closer than in 2016.
To come to your conclusion, you have to assume Trump will not outperform the current polling.
Are you sure that's what you want to do?
Or, perhaps the polls were fake?
Whatever you have to tell yourself to ease your own suffering.
|
|
|
|
Post by runswithscissors on Nov 5, 2024 19:59:54 GMT
I never pay any attention to the Poles. What the fuck do they know? Hell, if I were gonna place any faith in hypotehetical stuff I'd go with the Danes or Swedes or Icelanders. Poles.....hilarious.
|
|
Odysseus
Legend
Trump = Disaster
Posts: 41,114
|
Post by Odysseus on Nov 5, 2024 20:02:49 GMT
Or, perhaps the polls were fake?
Whatever you have to tell yourself to ease your own suffering.
How, pray tell, will you ever deal with a Kamala victory?
|
|
|
|
Post by johnnybgood on Nov 5, 2024 23:48:59 GMT
________________________________________________________________________________
Greggy, .. Trump gonna beat Harris,  .. and it will be because MILLIONS of blacks VOTED for Trump,  and that in itself gonna really piss you the hell off. I CANNOT wait!  Millions of Blacks. Obama would still have won without one black vote. |
|
|
|
Post by DaveJavu on Nov 6, 2024 0:42:49 GMT
I never pay any attention to the Poles... Well, you should. They make excellent kielbasa... |
|
|
|
Post by Greg55_99 on Nov 6, 2024 5:34:52 GMT
I'm gonna need some Malox...
Greg
|
|
RWB
Legend
Posts: 12,803
|
Post by RWB on Nov 6, 2024 6:17:29 GMT
I'm gonna need some Malox... Greg from drinking too much plum mad dog? |
|
|
|
Post by johnnybgood on Nov 6, 2024 7:13:50 GMT
He's not going to Jail He's elected again instead. I remember people partying sure he was going to jail  I said he wouldn't go to jail, but I can't find where I said he would be president again |
|
|
|
Post by stugatze on Nov 6, 2024 9:28:35 GMT
I think Stu has taken to his bed with the vapors. He hasn't posted since yesterday. Yeah, Stuey has gone radio silent. He only does that when BAD Trump stuff comes down. Greg
____________________________________________________________________________
Greggy, .. I WARNED you and I TOLD you that Trump WOULD win,  ../ and it look ls like he even might have WON the popular vote, .. as well, as the republicans have taken the Senate!  |
|
Paleocon
Legend
We spent 50 Years fighting the USSR just to become a gay, retarded version of It.
Posts: 7,338
|
Post by Paleocon on Nov 6, 2024 11:33:00 GMT
Whatever you have to tell yourself to ease your own suffering.
How, pray tell, will you ever deal with a Kamala victory?
I guess we'll never know. |
|
