Post by Paleocon on Sept 26, 2024 14:18:00 GMT
Nearly all Gallup measures that have shown some relationship to past presidential election outcomes or that speak to current perceptions of the two major parties favor the Republican Party over the Democratic Party. Chief among these are Republican advantages in U.S. adults’ party identification and leanings, the belief that the GOP rather than the Democratic Party is better able to handle the most important problem facing the country, Americans’ dissatisfaction with the state of the nation, and negative evaluations of the economy with a Democratic administration in office.
The political environment suggests the election is Trump’s and Republicans’ to lose. Nearly every indicator of the election context is favorable to the Republican Party, and those that aren’t are essentially tied rather than showing a Democratic advantage.
In a poll even liberal media outlets won’t be able to ignore, Gallup said on Tuesday that of the 10 key issues it charts to determine which side is up or down, the Republicans lead in nine.
The Republicans are underwater only on the approval of Congress, and voters don’t like either party on that.
The Republicans are underwater only on the approval of Congress, and voters don’t like either party on that.
On party identification, one of just two issues Gallup rated as a “strong” driver in election outcomes, 48% of people are, or lean, Republican to 45% who are, or lean, Democrat.
The second “strong” election driver is which party voters believe will handle big problems, and Republicans dominate there, 46%-41%.
Key for Republicans is the view that they are better suited to handle the economy. By a 50%-44% margin, for example, the GOP is viewed as the party that will make America prosperous.
Key for Republicans is the view that they are better suited to handle the economy. By a 50%-44% margin, for example, the GOP is viewed as the party that will make America prosperous.
